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2024-12-14 11:33:27

There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)2 trillion yuan of special refinancing bonds will be issued next week. According to China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue the eleventh batch of government bonds in Beijing in 2024 by tender on December 18th. By then, the task of issuing 2 trillion yuan of local government refinancing special bonds to "replace the hidden debts in stock" will be completed during the year. At present, 29 provinces have disclosed the issuance arrangement of special refinancing special bonds, while Guangdong Province and Shanghai did not participate in this round of hidden debt swap. (Securities Times)2 trillion yuan of special refinancing bonds will be issued next week. According to China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue the eleventh batch of government bonds in Beijing in 2024 by tender on December 18th. By then, the task of issuing 2 trillion yuan of local government refinancing special bonds to "replace the hidden debts in stock" will be completed during the year. At present, 29 provinces have disclosed the issuance arrangement of special refinancing special bonds, while Guangdong Province and Shanghai did not participate in this round of hidden debt swap. (Securities Times)


Raw sugar futures fell by 1.7%, coffee C fell by more than 0.6%, and new york cocoa rose by 1.9%, which once reached a record high. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 1.69% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 1.29%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell by 0.64% and rose to 348.35 cents/pound on December 10, and continued to pull back. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.45%. New york cocoa futures rose 1.93% to US$ 10,781/ton, and rose to US$ 10,900 at 23:23 Beijing time, a record high after a trading day. London cocoa futures rose 2.54% to 8063, and also rose to 8680 at 23:25, a record high for three consecutive days. ICE cotton futures fell 0.14%.Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)Chicago corn futures fell by 1%, while wheat, soybean meal and soybean oil fell by 0.8% at most. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), the Bloomberg Grain Sub-index fell by 0.63% to 31.7965 points. CBOT corn futures fell 1.00% to 4.43-3/4 USD/bushel. CBOT wheat futures fell 0.80% to $ 5.58-3/4 a bushel. CBOT soybean futures were roughly flat at $ 10.02-1/2 per bushel, while soybean meal futures fell by 0.70% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.50%.


IBM and Illinois will establish a national quantum algorithm center with universities and industries in Chicago. On December 12th, local time, IBM and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker announced that they would cooperate to establish a new national quantum algorithm center in the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park (IQMP) in Chicago. The center is jointly supported by IBM and other quantum computing pioneers, including the University of Chicago and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and will be supported by IBM's next-generation quantum computer, IBM Quantum System Two, which the company plans to deploy in Chicago next year.The State Council, USA: When meeting with Turkish President Erdogan, Secretary of State Blinken stressed the need to ensure that the coalition against Islamic State can continue to carry out its key mission.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)

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